This talk will present in an accessible way the approaches used in epidemiology to estimate the relation between meteorological conditions and health, focusing on the example of temperature effects on mortality. A key challenge relates to the fact that only a small fraction of weather-related deaths are identified as such in death certificates. Time-series analyses, which are an essential option to circumvent this challenge, will be presented (with distributed non linear lag models as a special case) , as well as before-after studies. The distinction with health impact assessment (HIA) studies, allowing, on the longer term, to quantify the impact of climate change, will be done. The detailed methodology of Health impact assessment studies, which can also be used to estimate the health co-benefits of climate change mitigation strategies, will be presented in a second talk [planned on October 14].

Rémy Slama, Senior investigator at Inserm and Pr. attaché ENS, Institut de Biologie de l’ENS, PARSEC (Paris Research on Health Environment and Climate).

Le département de Géosciences de l’ENS s’associe avec l’Institut de Biologie de l’ENS pour proposer un cycle de séminaires portant sur les méthodes pour quantifier les liens entre santé et climat.

Les séminaires auront lieu les 11 septembre, 14 octobre et 6 novembre au département de Géosciences de l’ENS : 24 rue Lhomond – aile Erasme – salle Claude Froidevaux – E314