Séminaire
Titre :
El Niño 2015/16: the kid is back
Nom du conférencier :
Eric Guilyardi
Son affiliation :
LOCEAN
Laboratoire organisateur : LOCEAN
Date et heure : 19-01-2016 11h00
Lieu :
Campus de Jussieu, salle de réunion LOCEAN, tour 45/55, 4eme étage
Résumé :
The current El Niño event is one of the largest since 50 years. The last extreme event in 1997/98 caused severe worldwide weather impacts on both the environment and societies. The unfolding 2015/16 event is described in the context of these other large events and a review of progress in ENSO understanding and forecast since the 1997/98 event is proposed. If ENSO prediction skill has not improved beyond the Spring predictability barrier, we now have a better physical understanding of why this may be. We also review how state-of-the-art models simulate ENSO and the links with climate change.
Contact :